井陉煤田底板突水强度和突水频率趋势预测的研究

Study on Trend Forecasting for Intensity and Frequency of Water Inrush of Floor in Jingxing Coal Field

本文将灰色系统分析方法引入煤层底板突水规律的研究,建立了Q～H、Q/P～H、P/M～H的灰色模拟曲线及数学表达式,并利用这些关系式进行了突水量预测的尝试,取得了较好的效果,为煤层底板突水规律研究定量化作了一次有益探索。

This paper studies the water inrush laws of floor with grey system theory. After the grey modeling curves and mathematic formula of Q-H, Q/ P-H, P/ M- H have been established, the author has made an attempt to predict the amount of water inrush and good results are obtained. It is an useful approach to the quantitative assessment of the water inrush laws.