广义Usher模型的建立及其在油田生产中的应用

Application of Generalized Usher Model for Prediction of Production and Recoverable Reserve of Oilfield

建立了一种具有更大灵活性和更广适应性的新的生长曲线模型——广义Usher模型，并将该模型用于萨马特洛尔油田产量与可采储量预测，结果表明，该模型可以用于对某些事物的发展过程进行描述，且其拟合精确度不低于Usher模型。

A new growth curve model has been established namely the generalized Usher model which is more flexible and adaptable． The model has been applied for prediction of production and recoverable reserve of Samatelore oilfield． Application result demonstrated that such a model could be used to describe the developing procedure of some things or events and the resulted matching accuracy is no less than that of commonly used Usher model．