对今年外贸形势的分析和认识

Analysis of China's foreign trade in 2003

1～2月份全国外贸情况总体良好,主要宏观经济指标进一步向好,我国经济已开始进入新一轮增长。预计2003年,世界经济总体运行将好于2002年,但世界经济恢复的基础比较脆弱;我国进口增长将加快,但贸易顺差会有所减少。

In the first two months of 2003, China's foreign trade witnessed sound performance and major macroeconomic indicators were further improved. China's economy has entered a new growth cycle. In 2003, the world economy is expected to be better than that of last year, though the base for recovery remains weak. China's import growth will accelerate while the trade surplus may decline to some extent.