对多次命中时舰艇主动力装置生命力问题的研究

Applying the theory of Markov process to calculate the probability of main power plant being damaged of warship under multi-attack

针对舰艇主动力装置生命力 ,以及多次命中的生命力难以进行定量分析 ,定义了主动力装置多次命中后所处的各种可能状态 ,并运用马尔科夫过程的有关理论 ,推导出了多次命中条件下舰艇处于各种状态的概率 .

It is difficult to analyze quantitatively the survivability of main power plant of warship under mutli attack.This paper analyzes the characteristic of the survivability of main power plant of warship under mutli attack,definites serval states which main power plant maybe stand after being attack,then applying the theory of Markov process,establishes a mathematic model to calculate the probability.