摘要
本文依据数理统计理论,提出对电力系统负荷预报误差的概率密度函数的建模方法,给出建模公式并证明其渐近无偏性及均方收敛性,该方法已成功地用于黑龙江省电力系统负荷预报误差分析。
According to the principles of statistics, a modeling method of probability density functions for power system load forecasting errers is presented in this paper. The modeling formulae are given and the asymptotic unbiased and the mean square convergence are derived.This method has been successfully applied to the analysis of HLJ power system load forecasting errors.
出处
《自动化学报》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
1993年第5期562-568,共7页
Acta Automatica Sinica
关键词
电力系统
载荷
预测
误差
密度函数
Probability density function
modeling
forecasting errors
power system load
test.
