摘要
本文提出了一种边坡滑坡时序建模预测分析方法,以AR模型为例,探讨了时序建模及其预报的基本思想,最后用AR模型对清江电站进口边坡406阻滑键监测数据建模及预报,取得了一定的成果.
This paper presents the method of the slope safety monitoring and time series model-
ing and its forecasting.Using the AR model as an example,we probed into the basic prin-
ciple of the time series model-establishing and its forecasting.At last,we applied the AR
model to the safety monitor analysis of the 406 stop-sliding key of the enter port slope of
Qingjian Hydropower Station,and acquired some results.
出处
《自然灾害学报》
CSCD
1993年第4期67-73,共7页
Journal of Natural Disasters
关键词
滑坡
灾害
预测
地质灾害
Landslide disasters
Monitoring and forecasting
Time series analysis
Qingjian Hydropower Station
