石油资源预测中的潜信息损失及其潜方法研究

STUDY ON THE POTENTIAL INFORMATION LOSES AND THE POTENTIAL METHODS IN THE RESOURCES ESTIMATION OF PETROLEUM

本文对石油资源预测评价中的多方面性和多层次性进行了分析,对石油地质专家的不确定性知识和定性规律作了研究,在描述专家思维知识的过程中指出了思维过程和描述过程的潜在信息损失.提出,深入探讨专家的知识结构、思维特征,认真总结石油预测中的定性规律和信息传递,将有利于石油地质从定性为主的经验描述走向定性和定量相结合的科学描述,有利于引进一些新思想、新方法来武装石油地质学.

This paper is to analyze multiaspects and multiseries in petroleum acces-sment, and to study the undeterministic knowledge and qualitative laws used by petroleum geologists and to conclude that there is the potential informat-ion loses in the processes of thinking and description. It is important to make extensive investigation about the knowledge structures and thinking peculiar-ities of the experts, and to sum up the qualitative laws and message trans-mition, which would be helpful for petroleum geology in the extent of qualitative description of mere experience toward more scientific description combined with qualitative and quantitative methods; and which would be useful in introducing new ideas and methods for the development of petroleum geology.