区域粮食产量的灰色动态预测

Grey Dynamic Forecasting for Regional Total Grain Yields

本文应用灰色系统理论，建立了福建省光泽县粮食总产量的动态模式，分析了该县粮食产量的历史变动状况，并对１９９１～２０００年的粮食产量进行预测．模型采用两种特殊措施，极大地提高了预测精度。

By using the grey system theory,this paper has set up a dynamic model of the total grain yields in Guangze County,Fujian Province,analyed the yield change in history and made a forecast in grain yield of 1991～2000.Two special dictions have been used in the model so that the forecasting precision is greatly raised.