摘要
当原始序列属代数曲线型时,应用GAM模型可以提高精度,从而避免进行GM(1,1)模型的残差修正二次建模。从分析GM(1,1)模型的缺陷着手,结合实例详细介绍了GAM模型的思想形成和计算方法。
When inital sequence belongs to algebra currve, the precision in environmental forecast may be improved by using GAM model. By means of analysing defect of GM(1,1)model, in the light of an example,GAM model and its calculation method are introduced in detall.
出处
《干旱环境监测》
1994年第1期39-40,44,共3页
Arid Environmental Monitoring
关键词
灰色模型
大气监测
环境预报
Grey model,Calculation method
Environmental forecast.