模糊数学在洪水预报中的初步应用

Rudimentary application of fuzzy mathematics in flood forecast

通过乐安河石镇街站预报实例，说明模糊数学在洪水预报中应用的可行性，尤其是在构成相似的量以及综合相似程度、数值化方面显示出一定的优越性，避免了相似分析预报中的主观性。同时取得了较为满意的效果，是有益的摸索、探讨。

The forecast case of the Lean River hydrologic station of Shizhen Townhas shown the reasibility of the application of Fuzzy mathematics in flood forec-ast,in particular,has shown some advantages in the aspects of constituting silrlilar-amount,synthetical similar extent and numerical value. The application of FuzzyMathemetics in flood forecast has prevented the subjectivity of the forecast by si-milar analysis.At the same time,someratber satisfactory effects has been gain-ed.This is a helpful quest and discussion.