4Shimao T.Tuberculosis and its control-lessons from the past and future prospect[J].Kekkaku, 2005 ; 80( 6):481-489.
5Aoki M.Tuberculosis control strategy in the 21st century in Japan-for elimination of tuberculosis in Japan[J].Kekkaku,2001;76(7):549-557.
6徐国祥,主编.统计预测与决策[M],第1版,上海:上海财经大学出版社.1998.199-225.
7Dye C,Fengzeng Z,Scheele S,et al.Evaluating the impact of tuberculosis control:number of deaths prevented by short-course chemotherapy in China[J].Int J Epidemiol,2000;29(3):558-564.
8Nishiura H,Patanarapelert K,Tang IM.Predicting the future trend of drug-resistant tuberculosis in Thailand: assessing the impact of control strategies[J].Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health,2004;35(3):649-656.
9Rios M,Garcia JM,Sanchez JA,et al.A statistical analysis of the seasonality in pulmonary tuberculosis[J].Eur J Epidemiol,2000;16(5) :483-488.
10West RW,Thompson JR.Modeling the impact of HIV on the spread of tuberculosis in the United States[J].Math Biosci,1997;143( 1 ):35-60.