事故树分析是开展“事故预想、预测活动”的有效方法

Accident Tree Analysis-the Effective Methed for Developing″Accident Forecast Activities″

简述了事故树分析方法的实质、编制过程，定性分析步骤，介绍了山东铝厂开展预想、预测活动的概况并以电解质、铝液烫伤为实例，对事故树分析法的应用及其效果进行了详细阐述。

This paper introduces tbe essence of accident tree analysis method,its comilation course and steps of qualitative analysis. The paper also introduces the situation of developing aecident forecast activities in Shandong Aluminium Factory and exepounds the utilization and effect of accident tree andlysis method taking electrelyte and liquid aluminium scald for exalnple.