铁路运输能力损失的延迟和恢复的定量研究

A QUANTITY RESEARCH ON DELAY TIME AND RENEWALTIME IN SUSTAINING LOSSES OF RAILWAY TRANSPORTCAPACITIES

本文运用计算机模拟方法，在构造由两个技术站及其邻接区段组成的实验系统模型的基础上，在不同行车条件下，通过对系统正常运行状态和各种中断状态的模拟实验和数据分析，定量地确定出各种中断状态下，系统运输能力损失传递的延迟概率和延迟时间以及中断结束后系统的恢复时间和恢复系数，获得了运用排队论方法难以企及的有关动态条件下铁路运输能力损失传递规律的若干新认识。

Utilizing computer simulation method and with the help of a simulation-experiment system built, this thesis determines quantitatively the delay probability and delay timein sustaining losses of transport capacities ,the nenewal time and renewal coefficient under the different operation conditions in the system ,and gains a number of new knowlege on dynamictransmission regulars in sustaining losses of railway transport capacities,which can hardlybe realized with the theory of queue.