给水管网的震害预测及可靠性评价

Seismic Damage Prediction and Reliability Evaluation of Water Supply Systems

介绍了地下给水管线震害预测的概率模型及管网可靠性评价的主要方法．编制了适用于管网连通性分析中多种指定目标的计算程序，并应用于西宁市给水管网的震害预测．

In this paper, the probabilistic models for predicting seismic damages of water supply pipelines and the methods for evaluating seismic riliability of network systems are introduced.'A computer pregram has been compiled to compute probabilities of connectivity of network. The pregram is applied to the seismic damage prediction for the water supply network of Xining city.