摘要
对复杂现象的动态序列建模,一般单一模型效果不是太好,本文给出叠合模型的建模方法,着重讨论周期性趋势的叠合模型方法,并对其作了改进。文章利用改进的周期性趋势叠合模型对我国非典型肺炎临床诊断病人数作出了非常满意的拟合。
Singularity model against dynamic sequence modeling doesn't work well. This paper gives modeling method of congruence model, emphasizes the congruence model with periodicity trend, and improves it. The congruence model with periodicity trend fits the number of atypical pneumonia clinic diagnosis patients.
出处
《运筹与管理》
CSCD
2005年第1期37-40,共4页
Operations Research and Management Science
关键词
系统建模
叠合模型
拟合
周期趋势
非典型肺炎
system modeling
congruence model
fitting
periodicity trend
atypical pneumonia
