企业技术投资中的二期决策模型

Model for Decision Making in the Second Phase of Enterprise'Investment in Technology

企业进行技术投资分析时普遍采用最低总费用法 ,这种方法得到的是静态最优值。投资是一个动态的过程 ,需要在整个计划期间内的每个阶段中 (离散时间情形 ) ,寻求变量的最优解。

In the process of analyzing investment in technology,enterprises often use method of minimumoverall cost,which reˉsults in static optimum value.Investment is a dynamic process,which requires to look for the optimum solutions to variables in every phase within the period of the plan(discrete time situation).By making use of the idea of time option,this paper designs a highly_simplified dynamic second_phase model to determine whether to carry out investment nowor in the future.