摘要
本文用系统动力学的原理和方法,对龙井县社会-经济-生态复合系统进行总体动态仿真。以该复合系统过去36年的演变轨迹为基础,建立了一组动态模型,并通过此模型群模拟了在四种不同的策略下该复合系统的未来演变趋势。最后,通过对比分析,提出了"协调型"发展方案,作为调控该复合系统的依据。
According to the principles and methods of system dynamics,the social- economic-ecologic complex system in Longjing County,Jilin Prcvince is sim- ulated dynamically.On the basis of the evolution orbit of the complex system during the past 36 years,a set of dynamic models are established and the fu- ture development trends of the complex system with four different strategies are simulated.Through comparison and analysis,'Harmonization Type' development strategy is proposed as the basis of adjusting and controlling the complex system,
出处
《地理科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
1989年第1期60-66,共7页
Scientia Geographica Sinica
关键词
社会
经济
生态
复合系统
仿真
Complex system
Dynamic simulation
Development strategy
