装备完好率混沌时间序列数据控制方法研究

Contrtol Method of the Arm's Intactness Chaotic Time Series

以某类具有混沌特征的装备完好率时间序列数据为研究对象,分析了导致其混沌的系统因素,认为混沌时间序列源于混沌系统。用系统的观点讨论了对混沌时间序列进行控制的最小参数扰动方法和步骤,给出了几种控制策略。

For a kind of arm's intactness rate time series which have been testified having the chaotic property,the systemic factors which cause them chaotic are analyzed in this paper.We are sure that the chaotic time series come from some chaotic systems,so the control methods for chaotic system should be found to control the chaotic time series.The idea and the control steps of minimum parameters disturbing method are discussed.In the end,some control tactics are proposed.