人民币升值对我国经济影响的一般分析

Analysis on the Effects of the Appreciation of RMB on Chinese Economy

近两年,人民币的汇率问题成为各方面争论的焦点,认为人民币升值将损害我国经济增长的观点多数只是从对进出口和吸引外资的角度来分析的,但一国的汇率调整将会对国内经济的各个方面产生影响,本文具体阐述了升值对进出口贸易、外国直接投资、对外直接投资、外汇储备、经济结构、就业等方面将产生的影响,结论是虽然升值有利有弊,但从总体和长远角度看是利大于弊,并对升值幅度、升值方式、升值时机的选择提出了具体的政策建议。

In recent years, the problem of exchange rate of RMB has been the focus of disputes, the view that the appreciation of RMB will damage the development of economy is only analyzed from aspects of imports, exports and FDI. However, adjusting exchange rate will affect various fields. This paper expatiates on effects that appreciation of RMB effect on imports and exports trade, FDI, foreign exchange reserve, the structure of economy, employment and so on in system, and the conclusion is that although it has disadvantages and merits, the appreciation of RMB have more merits than disadvantages, then bring forward idiographic advice on range, mode and occasion of appreciation.