基础设施投资对经济增长推动作用的动态计量模型与分析

Dynamic Econometrical Model and Analysis on Promoting Effect of Infrastructure Investment on Economic Growth

本文通过建立误差修正模型定量分析中国及其东、中、西部地区基础设施对经济增长推动作用。在模型中,分析了中国及其东、中、西三大地区基础设施投资GDP的弹性系数,其弹性大,推动效率高。因此得出基础设施投资在国民经济中起重要作用,能够极大地刺激GDP增长。

The article analyzes promoting effect of infrastructure investment on economic growth in China and it’s eastern、middle、western districts by establishing “error correction model” . From the model,infrastructure investment elastictise of GDP in china and eastern、middle、western districts are calculated and it seems that they are all bit. It’s promoting effects are high. So a conclusion could be drawn that infrastructure investment plays an important role in national economy and can greatly stimulate the increase of GDP.