汇率波动对我国出口影响的实证研究被引量：27

An empirical analysis on relation between exchange rate fluctuation and export trade of China

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摘要借鉴贸易引力模型,对 2 0 0 0 至 2 0 0 3 年中国和十个主要贸易伙伴国的面板数据进行计量分析,考察汇率波动对我国双边贸易的影响程序,发现名义汇率波动总体上对我国出口影响并不明显,我国汇率制度改革是有调整空间的,对于汇率波动的风险可以通过出口结构的调整和优化,通过企业自行规避汇率风险等得到解决。根据实证结果,建议改变目前汇率政策,实行盯住“一揽子”货币的汇率政策。 This paper exams the influence of exchange rate fluctuation on the bilateral trade, using 2000-2003 China and her ten trade partners’ trade panel statistics and the Gravity equation. The empirical result leads to corresponding policy suggestions.

作者余珊萍

机构地区东南大学经济管理学院

出处《东南大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》 2005年第2期13-17,共5页 Journal of Southeast University(Philosophy and Social Science)

关键词引力模型汇率波动出口贸易

分类号 F752.6 [经济管理—国际贸易]

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参考文献10

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