基于灰色系统理论的火灾事故预测方法

Forecastion of fire accidents base on grey system theory

简要叙述应用灰色系统理论进行火灾事故预测的理论和方法 ,建立了火灾事故预测的GM (1,1)模型 ,并用该模型对火灾事故进行预测。

This paper introduces the Grey forecasting method in the forecastion of fire accidents.The grey-forecasting-model GM(1,1) was built.The Result of the fire accidents was obtained.