新疆相对资源承载力与可持续发展问题研究

Study on Relative Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainable Development in Xinjaing

本文采用相对资源承载力的研究思路和计算方法,分析了新疆1985—2002年相对土地资源承载力、相对经济资源承载力和综合承载力及其演化过程。研究表明:1新疆的土地资源对综合承载力的贡献大于经济资源,是新疆人口的主要承载资源;21985—2002年,新疆的综合承载力一直超过实际人口数量,处于相对富余状态,但是这种状态呈下降趋势;3在西部12个省区市中,新疆的资源承载状况较好,呈现富余状态,仅次于内蒙古,而广西、重庆、四川、贵州4省区呈超载状态;4新疆15个地区(州、市)的相对承载力差异较明显,并且每个地区(州、市)的相对承载力也随着时间的迁移,呈现出一定的规律性变化。针对新疆相对承载力方面存在的问题,提出了新疆实现可持续发展的对策建议。

In the past research results of resource carrying capacity have numerous defects, this text took Xinjiang as an example, adopted relative resources carrying capacity of the train of thought and computing technology, analyzed relative land resource carrying capacity, relative economic resource carrying capacity and synthetic carrying capacity in Xinjiang. Studies have shown:①the contributions to the synthetic carrying capacity of land resource of Xinjiang are greater than economic resources, it is resources mainly of population in Xinjiang;②from 1985 to 2002, synthetic carrying capacity in Xinjiang exceed the real population, in the relative enough situation, but this kind of state presents the downward trend; ③in 12 provinces and city of the west, resources carrying capacity of Xinjiang states better, in the enough situation, second only to the Inner Mongol, while four provinces of Guangxi, Chongqing, Sichuan,Guizhou present the state of overloading;④relative resources carrying capacity of 15 place (state,city)show obvious difference,and each relative resource carrying capacity of place(state,city)demonstrate regularity with the change of time, too.According to the questions that relative resouces carrying capacity of Xinjiang, this text proposes the countermeasures sustainable development realized.