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基于微观经济基础的真实商业周期理论分析——2004年诺贝尔经济学奖对中国的启示 被引量:2

The Theoretical Analysis of Real Business Cycle on the Base of Microeconomic Foundation ——The Revelation of Nobel Economics Award in 2004 for China
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摘要 The 2004 Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel goes to the researchers whose contribution concerns two closely related areas of macroeconomic research: the time consistency problem of macroeconomic policy making and the driving forces behind business cycles.This paper gives a detailed and thorough introduction to the methodologies and contributions of the prize winning theories. In the context of political and economic environment, this paper demonstrates the application possibility of Kydland and Prescott’s analysis in China. The 2004 Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel goes to the researchers whose contribution concerns two closely related areas of macroeconomic research: the time consistency problem of macroeconomic policy making and the driving forces behind business cycles.This paper gives a detailed and thorough introduction to the methodologies and contributions of the prize winning theories. In the context of political and economic environment, this paper demonstrates the application possibility of Kydland and Prescott's analysis in China.
出处 《统计研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2005年第3期7-13,共7页 Statistical Research
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参考文献8

  • 1Cooley,T. and E. Prescott(1995), "Economic growth and business cycles ", in Cooley, T. ( ed. ), Frontiers of Business Cycle Research, Princeton University Press :Princeton, 1-38.
  • 2Debreu, G. ( 1959 ), Theory of Value, An Axiomatic Analysis of Economic Equilibrium, Wiley : New York.
  • 3Hodrick, R. and E. Prescott (1980), "Postwar U. S. business cycles: An empirical investigation", Journal of Money, Credit and Banking ,29( 1 ), 1-16.
  • 4Kydland, F. and E. Prescott (1977), "Rules rather than discretion:The inconsistency of optimal plans", Journal of Political Economy, 85,473-490.
  • 5Kydland,F. and E. Prescott (1982), "Time to build and aggregate fluctuations", Econometrica ,50,1345-1371.
  • 6Kydland, F. and E. Prescott (1988), "The workweek of capital and its cyclical implications", Journal of Monetary Economics, 21,343-360.
  • 7Maskin, E. and J. Tirole (2001), "Markov perfect equilibrium, Ⅰ: Observable actions",Journal of Economic Theory, 100,191-219.
  • 8Prescott, E. (1986), "Theory ahead of business cycle measurement", Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 10,Fall,9-22.

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