自驾车旅游交通需求的基础研究

A Fundamental Approach to Analyze the Driving Demand

为了讨论自驾车旅游引起的交通问题,从旅游交通需求着手,通过分析自驾车旅游需求的构成、特点、出行链的形成,以及不同群体的需求差异,探讨了出行者的经济特征、闲暇时间等影响自驾车旅游交通需求的主要因素,并且在交通调查的基础上建立logit模型,经过初步分析,得到收入是影响出游决策的决定性因素之一.

In order to discuss the traffic problem derived from driving for sightseeing, the paper focuses emphasis on the composition and typical characteristics of driving demand, the formation of trip chains and the demand variation of different trip groups. Aiming at finding out main factors from many aspects such as personal economic characteristics and leisure time, we analyze further from the point of demand. On the basis of traffic surveys, a logit model is established to discuss the predict method basically. Finally we get the conclusion that income is one of the crucial factors, which infllenced on the driving demand.