对我国油气资源可持续发展的一些看法

Some opinions about sustainable development of petroleum resource in China

对我国油气资源可持续发展提出了以下看法:①中国原油高峰年产量保持在约1.8×108t,维持的时间长一些对我国的石油供应安全更有利;②大油气田的发现与“难采储量”的发现是长期并存的,因此,在寻找大油气田的同时,也不能放弃对低品位储量的勘探;③我国原油开采应长期走有经济效益的“多井低产”道路;④对我国今后油气资源远景产生重大影响的是那些知之甚少的新区,如南海南沙海域、青藏高原、南海北部陆坡深水区。

Four opinions about sustainable development of petroleum resource in China are presented. Firstly, the peak annual output of crude oil in China will keep to about 0.18 billion tons. To keep the peak annual output longer is favorable for petroleum supply security. Secondly, the discovery of big oil-gas fields will go along with the discovery of low-quality reserves in a long time. When exploring big oil-gas fields, it is necessary to explore low-quality reserves. Thirdly, the recovery of crude oil in China should approach in the economic policy of more wells and low output. Finally, the new exploration areas unknown to us now will greatly affect the prospect of petroleum resources in China in future, such as Nansha areas in South China Sea, Tibet Plateau and deep water aktian deposit areas in north of South China Sea.