区域水安全战略的研究进展

Research advances in regional water security strategy

分析了区域水安全所面临的问题及其挑战,总结了国内外区域水安全战略研究和实践的现状,阐述了研究的发展趋势以及需进一步解决的问题。研究指出:在21世纪,区域社会经济发展与水安全之间的互动影响将更加紧密,运用现代战略思维理论和系统动力学仿真方法,在对区域进行系统动态仿真分析和检验评价的基础上选择科学合理的水安全战略,是一个具有重要现实意义和重大理论价值的研究课题。

In the paper, the problems of regional water security and the concerned challenges are analyzed, the research and practice of regional water security strategies at home and abroad are summarized, and the tendency of the future study as well as the questions in need of further research are expounded. The paper suggests that the interaction between the social and economic development and the water security in a region will be still closer in the 21 century, and that, with the help of the modern strategic theory of thinking and the simulation methodology of systematic dynamics, both applied to the systematic and dynamic simulation and appraisal in a region, the scientific option of the reasonable water security strategy will be a valuable project with practical significance and theoretical value research.