社会经济发展的组合预测研究

Research on combination forecasting for social economic development

给出了最优加权组合预测理论的模型及其算法,并据此对贵阳市社会经济发展进行了组合预测。计算结果表明:组合预测方法可提高预测的精确性和可靠性,在社会经济发展预测研究中具有一定的使用价值,能为交通规划研究提供更为科学、合理的依据。

This paper puts forward the model and arithmetic for optimization weighted combination forecasting. And the society economy development in Guiyang is estimated based on combination forecasting. It indicates that combination forecasting can improve the accuracy and reliability of forecasting, and be occupied with use value providing for traffic planning potentials.