布什政府对伊朗政策的走向

The Policy Trend of the Bush's Administration toward Iran

美国总统布什在2004年8月9日的竞选讲话公开、明确地承认,美国正在试图改变伊朗政权。为此,美通过多种途径企图支持伊朗境外反伊朗政权的力量谋求改变伊朗现政权,公开鼓动"对现政权极为不满"的伊朗人起来推翻"奉行伊斯兰原教旨主义的神权政治"。与此同时,美也有对伊朗进行军事打击的设想,但是进行军事打击存在不少障碍与困难,决策层内部看法也不一致。美伊之间的冷战还会继续,但在短期内还不会很快发展为热战。在一定条件下也有可能进行接触与对话,使两国紧绷的关系暂时得到舒缓,但"时紧时松"的局面难有大的改观。

On August 9 2004, President Bush admitted openly and clearly in his campaign speech that the U. S. was trying to transform Iranian regime. For this end, the U. S. was through various means supporting the forces outside Iran that intended to topple the present Iranian regime, and instigated the Iranians who were supposed to be utterly unsatisfied with the regime to rise up and overthrow the Islamic Fundamentalist regime that practiced theocracy rule. Meanwhile, the U. S. also had the intention of military strike against Iran. But such intention has run into various obstacles and difficulties and the leading circle in the U. S. has not yet come to consensus on this matter. While the cold war between the U.S. and Iran may con-tinue, it seems that such a cold war will not be-come a hot one in the foreseeable future. Under certain circumstances, the two sides will be likely to engage in contact and dialogue, which might ease their tense relations to some extent.Nevertheless, their relations will remain unstable.(