摘要
根据三十多年来的短期气候预测经验, 对于降水的短期气候预测, 总结了7 条预报规则: (1)能量频散规则; (2) 相干共振规则; (3) 下游阻塞规则; (4) 侧向抑制规则; (5) 驻波不频散规则; (6)风吹雨斜规则; (7) 准半年重现规则(准半年韵律)。
Based on the thirty year short-term climate prediction experiences, the 7 rules for rainfall prediction of short-term climate areintroduced in this paper. Because the physical foundations of these rules are correction, they play an important role on the short-term rainfall prediction. Butin some cases they may be incompatible, some further investigations and improvements are still needed.
出处
《高原气象》
CSCD
北大核心
2005年第2期218-222,共5页
Plateau Meteorology
基金
科技部社会公益研究专项"宁夏气候对全球气候变化的响应及其机制"02专题"河套地区气候变化事实和成因研究"资助
关键词
短期气候预测
地气图方法
降水预测
预报规则
Short-term climate prediction
Di-qi map
Rainfall prediction
Prediction rules