公路网规划中交通预测的思想方法

New Approaches to Traffic Demand Forecast in Highway Network Planning

本文从分析现行公路网规划中交通预测存在的问题出发，提出了交通预测应具有的思想方法。为提高公路网规划中的预测水平，笔者认为应进一步更新交通预测思想，完善交通预测体系，加强预测环境研究和交通系统模拟技术的研究。

In view of the problems existed in the current traffic demand forecastin highway network planning,some new approaches to the forecasting ought to beconsidered are presented in this paper to raise the level of the forecasting technique,including the renewing the forecasting concept,the perfecti on of traffic demendforecasting system,and strenghening the study of the forecasting condition andtraffic system simulation technique.