灰色理论在城市生活垃圾量预测中的应用分析

Application of Grey Theory to Prediction of Urban Garbage Amount

依据武汉市1993～2002年的垃圾清运量数据,运用灰色系统的预测方法,建立了GM(1,1)模型,预测武汉市到2010年垃圾产生量的水平。根据关联度的大小对影响垃圾产生量e的主要因素进行排序,并分析影响垃圾产量的三大主要因素,对于加强垃圾管理和垃圾处理设施的规划具有现实意义。

According to the data of garbage dumped from 1993 to 2002 in Wuhan City, this paper predicts the garbage production quantity up to the year 2010 using the estimate method of grey system. GM (1,1) model is established,and the important three factors which affect the garbage production quantity are analyzed.The prediction is useful in enhancing program regarding management and recycling of urban wastes.