民用机场货运吞吐量预测方法

Study on the Prediction Methods for Freight Handle at China’s Civil Airports

随着中国经济建设和航空运输的发展,航空货运在航空运输市场中的份额越来越大,成为航空运输业新的经济增长点.目前对于机场货运吞吐量的预测方法不尽合理,导致了预测与实际情况不符,为此提出将机场的服务范围和城市圈概念融入传统吞吐量的预测方法.最后以南京机场为案例进行了分析研究.

With the development of economy and air transport, air freight transport play an important role in air transport market, and become a new growth point at the same time. The prediction methods of freight handle used currently have some defects and lead to the result of prediction with big deviation to the real situation. Based on the basic prediction methods and the specialty of freight transport, a new method of how to predict the airport freight handle is presented and a case study is made.