我国科研投入与经济增长之间关联性分析

The Related Analysis between Scientific Research Investment and Economic Growth in China

现代经济增长理论十分关注技术进步与经济增长之间的关系,技术进步被认为是经济增长的一个重要源泉,对知识生产部门的投入能够增加知识产出,并最终影响实际经济。但我们利用Granger影响关系检验发现,我国的科研投入与经济增长率不存在显著的Granger影响,相反,经济增长率对科研投入增量具有显著的Granger影响。这说明目前我国科研投入与实际经济之间的传导机制上存在严重的阻滞。因此,加大科研成果向现实经济的转化应该是我国一项较为长期的重要任务。

Modern economic growth theory think that technological progress is an important source and power of economic growth, and the production of knowledge department can promote the technological progress, and influence actual economy finally. Granger influence relation test result shows that scientific research of our country have no significantly influence on economic growth rate. On the contrary, economic growth rate have remarkable Granger influence on the capital input of scientific research. This study reveals that serious blocking exists on the conduction mechanism transforms scientific research into actual economy at present. So, it should be an comparatively important task of the long-term in our country to transform scientific findings into realistic economy.