摘要
本文对博山城镇１９７７～１９８８年肺癌死亡率进行时间序列分析表明，自１９７７年以来其肺癌死亡率呈明显上升趋势。并应用灰色预测模型对肺癌死亡率进行了预测。为政府制订卫生发展战略，有计划地开展肺癌防治及其效果观察，提供了科学依据。
The trends of lung cancer mortality in Boshan(1977-1988) were shown by time series
analysis.Since 1977,themortality rates of lung cancer were increased significantly. Using gray
prediction model,lung cancermortality was pre-dicted,It provides scientifec evidence for the
government toformulate the strategy of hygiene development,to preventand cure lung cancer
under planning and to survey the re-sults.
出处
《中国慢性病预防与控制》
CAS
1994年第3期106-107,共2页
Chinese Journal of Prevention and Control of Chronic Diseases
关键词
时间序列分析
肺肿瘤
死亡率
预测
Lung cancer Time series analysis Gray
orediction model
