基于马尔可夫过程的虚拟企业动态风险评价方法的研究

Research on evaluation method of dynamic risk for virtual enterprise based on Markov process

针对虚拟企业风险具有不确定性的特点,提出了基于马尔可夫过程的风险评价模型,模型考虑了完工和失败概率、生产成本和完工质量系数;并用实例说明运用该模型对企业生产进行风险评价的过程带来的效果。

Pointing to uncertanties of virtual enterprise risks,a new risk evaluation model based on Markov process was presented,which considered some factors such as the probability of success and failure,production cost and quality coefficient of success.An example was used to illustrate effects in process of this method on risk evaluation of enterprise production.