摘要
利用新会195 7～2 0 0 3年气温和降雨量资料,应用因子组合方法[1] 寻找影响新会6～9月长时间持续高温天气出现的因子。结果显示,能够准确地预报夏天是否出现持续高温天气≥6d ,从而有效地提高长期天气、特别是小概率事件的预测能力。
Based on temperature and rainfall data in Xinhui from 1957 to 2003,the factors which affect durative high temperature weather from June to September are retrieved with the method of factor combination analysis. The results show that durative high temperature weather can be predicted precisely by using the method. Accordingly,the veracity of the long-range forecast,especially for low probability event,is improved.
出处
《广东气象》
2005年第2期10-11,共2页
Guangdong Meteorology
关键词
因子组合
江门市
持续高温预报
持续高温天气
天气预报
factor combination
high temperature
low probability event
long-range forecast
Xinhui
