相互依赖与中国的石油供应安全

Interdependence and China’s Oil Supply Security

在与国际石油市场的互动过程中,当代中国经历了从贫油、遭禁运、自给自足、出口到今天依赖进口的不同阶段。如何保障国民经济和社会发展所需的石油足量供应,如何在复杂多变的国际油价变化中取得主动是今日中国石油供应安全的核心内容。作者主张,从国际政治经济学中自由制度主义理论的理念出发,处理好业已存在的中国与国际石油市场乃至整个世界经济间的相互依赖才是保障未来中国的石油安全乃至国家安全的上策。

During its interactions with the world oil market, contemporary China has experienced different stages —— from oil shortage, embargo, self-sufficiency, export, and to today’s import dependency. Thus, the following questions are central to China’s oil supply security: how can China guarantee sufficient oil supplies for its national economic and social development? Can China gain the initiative under the volatile state of world oil prices? The author suggests that, based on the theories of liberal functionalism of IPE, the optimal policy to ensure China’s future oil security and its national security is to properly deal with the interdependence of China and the global oil market, and even the global economy.