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基于生态足迹模型中国可持续发展动态分析 被引量:44

Dynamic Analysis of Sustainable Development in China Based on the Ecological Footprint
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摘要 在介绍生态足迹模型的基本概念、计算方法和研究进展的基础上,对中国历年的生态足迹进行了实证研究,结果表明:从1981~2001年,中国人均生态承载力比较稳定,人均生态足迹从1981年到1996年逐步上升,1997年开始小幅度下降。本文对中国生态足迹时间序列的研究分析表明若要改变长期的不可持续发展状态,就要降低人口数量,改变资源消费模式和消费结构。 This paper presents the basic concept and calculation method of ecological footprints and applies them to China during the period of 1981-2001 as a case study. The result indicates that the biological capacity per capita in China gradually increased from 1981 to 1996, and then decreased slightly after 1997. Controlling the population and adjusting the consumption mode and infrastructure are suggested to change the long-term unsustainable development of China based on the ecological footprint.
出处 《中国人口·资源与环境》 CSSCI 2005年第3期38-42,共5页 China Population,Resources and Environment
关键词 生态足迹 生态经济 可持续发展 ecological footprint ecological economics sustainable development
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