粮食危机论:折射经济学家的思维分歧

Food Crisis Theory: Refraction the Economists’Different Thoughts

粮食危机论、粮食危机误导论从本质上反映了经济学家的思维分歧。生态经济学家更注重资源的内在价值、生态功能以及自然极限,强调资源的合理利用,经济与社会的可持续发展。传统经济学家更倾向于认为农业生态系统是一个不受环境制约的、可以无限膨胀和具有无限供应能力的系统,他们对无形的市场之手抱有扭曲的高度信任。农业生产是典型的有限环境中的有限生产。世界粮食产销格局的深刻转变预示着全球农业生态系统生产力极限已经向我们走来。如果我们无力扭转人口膨胀、城市和经济扩张的势头,如果我们不能尽快实现从传统工业经济向生态经济的转型,不仅是粮食危机,经济与社会的全面危机也将是一个迟早的问题。

In essence, Food Crisis Theory and Food Crisis Misleading Theory refract the different thoughtsbetween ecological economists and traditional economists. Ecological economists regard the ecological function, resourcelimit as well as emphasize the reasonable use of natural limits and economy-society to be sustainable development.Traditional economists prefer to regard agricultural ecosystem as a system that can expand limitlessly and has limitlesslysupply ability. They have twisted high confidence and hold for the hand of invisible market. Agricultural productionis the typical limited production in the limited environment. The deep change of the world general layout in foodproduction and consumption, indicates that global agricultural ecosystem productivity limit have walked to us. If wecan’t twist the population expansion, city and economic expansionism, if we can not realize the transition fromtraditional industrial economy to ecological economy as possible, food crisis is not only, the overall economic and socialcrisis will be problems sooner or later also.