我国通货膨胀与通货紧缩影响因素的计量分析

Analytical Approach to the Influence Factors of China' s Inflation and Deflation

针对我国新一轮物价水平上涨的社会现实,根据通货膨胀的供求混合推进理论,利用线性回归分析方法,构造了通货膨胀与消费、货币供给、工资的函数模型.通过分析近十年来我国通货膨胀和通货紧缩的实际情况,得出了消费和货币供给是影响我国物价水平变动的主要因素,并对有效控制当前物价水平上涨提出了政策建议.

Based on the mixed inflation theory, this paper establishes an function model of inflation upon consumption, currency supply and wage by the way of linearity analysis. After analyzing the inflation and deflation of China in the past 10 years, it concludes that consumption and currency supply are the most important factors which affect price giving the policy advice to control present price.