南水北调水资源供应链中牛鞭效应的随机控制

Stochastic Control of Bullwhip Effectin SCM of Water Resource of South-to-North Water Transfer

牛鞭效应是南水北调水资源供应链信息管理中的一个重要参数。在对南水北调水资源供应链结构设计分析的基础上,采用随机控制理论方法,建立水资源供应链的动态库存模型和"牛鞭效应"的定量描述,设计以订货水量作为控制变量的牛鞭效应随机控制算法。

<Abstrcat> Bullwhip effect is an important parameter in the information management in SCM of Water Resource of South-to-North Water Transfer. On the base of the analysis of the structure of the supply chain(SP) of water resource, the dynamic inventory model of supply chain of water resource of south-to-north water transfer is set up with applying stochastic control principle, and the bullwhip effect is restrained by taking the order of water as control variable.