我国贸易战略选择与“贫困化增长”

China's Choice of Trade Strategy and"Immiserizing Growth"

本文对“贫困化增长”的涵义和模型进行论述,从“贫困化增长”的前提条件、贸易条件以及国际竞争力角度论证了我国的出口贸易中劳动密集型产品的扩张可能导致“贫困化增长”,并分析其原因。从扶植战略性产业、改造传统产业、引进优质FDI三方面探讨了我国如何把比较优势转化为竞争优势,以规避“贫困化增长”。

In the past 25 years'economic reform, China has conformed to the comparative advantage, adopted'Export-Oriented'trade strategy, and achieved great success in foreign trade. However, if the gains from economic growth were counteracted by the ever-deteriorating terms of trade, in all probability it may leads to'Immiserizing Growth'. This article gives an introduction to'Immiserizing Growth'and two related models and then inspects foreign trade status in quo from three aspects: preconditions, terms of trade and international competitiveness. Empirical analysis shows that China's foreign trade confronted this kind of danger. After giving the intrinsic and extrinsic reasons to explain why it happened, this article provides efficient ways up to escape from'Immiserizing Growth': stimulate the domestic industry to realize competitive advantage, transfer conventional industry to stress comparative advantage, as well as make full use of late-developing advantage to absorb the FDI.