入世后我国机械工业经济安全的DEA模型估算

A Study on Economic Security of Machinery Industry after China's Entry into WTO

加入世贸组织以后,我国机械工业既面临机遇又面临巨大冲击,但是这种冲击在入世后的各年份中到底有多大,目前国内学者对之所做的研究多为定性分析,缺乏更有说服力的定量估算。本文对入世后的机械工业发展环境进行了分析,对入世后机械工业发展的关键指标数据进行了预测,应用DEA模型对入世后机械工业安全度进行了估算,得到了有说服力的估算结果。

After China's entry into WTO, Machinery industry experiences both opportunity and challenge. But to what extent the impact is and how will this impact be distributed in the coming several years. Although many qualitative researches have being done in this realm, the most important thing is to do some research of quantitative estimation. In this paper, firstly the machinery industry developing condition after China's entry into WTO is analyzed, secondly the key indexes data of machinery industry development in future are forecasted, and at last the DEA model of estimating machine industry development security is set up and the corresponding rational estimation results are obtained.