对地震活动的“茂木周期”再研究的初步结果

PRELIMINARY RESULTS OF RERESEARCH FOR "MOG! FERIOD" OF SEISMIC ACTIVITY

根据阿部胜征等重新校订的均一化地震目录,对“茂木周期”再一次进行研究,发现这一周期确实客观存在,而且可以消除本世纪初存在的矛盾。根据现有资料,茂木周期似可上溯至19世纪。我国内陆一些地区的强震活动与茂木周期相关甚好,据此,对未来20年我国地震大形势作了估计。

Discusses 'Mogi Period' according to uniform earthquake catalogue revised by Abe Katuyuki. Considers that 'Mogi Period' really conforms to actual seismic activity. Not only dispels the contradition that existed in the beginning of this century, but the 'Mogi Period' can date back to 19th century. Strong earthquake activities of some regions in inland of China is good interrelation with the 'Mogi Period' , and estimates the trend of future seismic activities in the coming 20 years.