装备战备完好性的模型预测研究

Study on Predictive Model for Sufficient Readiness of Combat Equipment

用简单概率分布建立装备战备完好性预测模型,通过对有关参数调整和战备完好性计算,能详细体现与装备相关的维修性、测试性及保障性。考虑到系统的工作、停机、和维修时间,战备完好性模型分为非工作状态和连续工作预测模型。前者战备完好率等于非工作时的可用度。后者与装备固有可靠性、维修性及保障资源有关。

The predictive model for combat readiness is constructed according to the simple probability distributing. The maintainability, testability and supportability correlated with equipment is represented with the model by adjusting those correlated parameters in the calculation formulas of readiness sufficiency ratio. In view of the time of work, intermission and maintenance for system, the predictive model is divided into two kinds of the state of non-working and consecutive working. The former, readiness sufficiency ratio is equal to the ratio of usable while not working. The latter correlates with inherent reliability, maintainability and supportability resource of weapon.