新增长理论对西部经济发展的启示——以我国31个省区为对象的实证分析

Inspiration from the New Growth Theory on Chinese West District Economic Development

西部地区人力资本在经济增长中的效应如何?和全国平均水平相比,差距多大?笔者收集了1996～2001年全国31个省区的经济增长、物质资本、人力资本的空间截面和时间序列数据,运用计量经济模型进行实证分析发现从动态角度,人力资本对经济增长的绩效要大于物质资本;西部地区的人力资本的经济绩效明显低于全国平均水平。文章在此基础上从理论和实践两个层面分析了原因,并提出了一系列的对策和建议。

By means of the concrete evidence analysis of the econometrics models upon the space-section and time-alignment data that include economic growth, material capital as well as human capital of the 31 provincial districts in China during 1996-2001, this paper points out that, in the dynamic point of view, there is a better economic effect of human capital than that of material capital and there is less economic effect in the West district than that of the Chinese average. The paper also analyzes the reasons for the differences and puts forward a series of methods and some suggestions.