摘要
我国老龄化速度快而且地区差异颇大,通过对1990-2002年各省份老年人口比重聚类,可将老龄化分为五种模式:高度老龄化模式、中高度老龄化模式、中度老龄化模式、中低度老龄化模式、低度老龄化模式。经老龄化因果分析发现:老龄化与经济发展水平具有相互促进的正相关关系,经济发展水平高的省份,老龄化程度高,同理老龄化程度高的省份,经济发展水平也高;反之,经济不发达的省份,老龄化程度低。在老龄化过程中由于出生率降低、少年儿童比重降低,人口增长速度下降,因此在老龄化初期可通过控制人口分母效应促进经济发展。
Aging develops quickly and the difference of provinces aging is large. After 30 provinces aging are hierarchical clustered, 5 models are got: high aging, middle-high aging, middle aging, light-middle aging, slight aging. After relation analysis, aging is direct relation to economy, in the developed provinces aging is high, while in the undeveloped province aging is slight. Aging and economy developing can interact each other.
出处
《西北人口》
2005年第4期9-11,共3页
Northwest Population Journal
