摘要
本文总结了我国４０年来地震监测预报工作的主要进展，按３个阶段：１９４９－１９６６，１９６６－１９７６，１９７６－１９９０年进行概述，以８０年代的新进展为重点，包括１２个方面：１．地震观测系统的明显改善；２．各类地震前兆观测台网的调整与优化；３．干扰识别与排除成套方法的建立；４．大陆地震前兆的主要特征；５．地震综合预报内容与方法的确定；６．地震预报方法指南的编制；７．系统科学在地震预报中的初步应用；８．地震预报专家系统的研制与试用；９．在检测地震短临前兆上所做的努力；１０．编制新的地震区划图；１１．５－１０年地震危险区划图的编制；１２．中国地震灾害损失图的编制．
This paper summarizes the progress in earthquake monitoring and prediction in our'country in recent forty years. It outlines the main advances according to three stages:1949-1966, 1966-1976, 1976-1990 and puts emphasis on the new developments during the 1980's. It includes twelve aspects as follows:1. The significant improvement in seismic observation. 2. The adjustment and optimization of precursor monitoring networks. 3. The establishment of serial methods for noise recognition and rejection in precursor monitoring. 4. The comprehensive characteristics of earthquake precursors in China. 5. The compilation of instruction for analysis and prediction.6. The affirmation of the contents and methods for multidisciplinary earthquake prediction.7. The trial application of system science in earthquake prediction. 8. The development and tryout of expert system for earthquake prediction. 9. Efforts made for detecting short-term and immediate precursors. 10. The compilation of the 1990 seismic zoning map of China.11. The compilation of the prediction map of 5-10 year dangerous regions in China,12. The compilation of the prediction map of losses from earthquake damages in China.
出处
《地球物理学报》
SCIE
EI
CSCD
北大核心
1994年第A01期196-207,共12页
Chinese Journal of Geophysics
关键词
地震前兆
短临前兆
专家系统
地震预报
Earthquake precursors. Multidisciplinary prediction, Seismic zonging tendentious anomalies, Short-term and immediate precursors, Earthquake prediction expert system, Prediction of losses from earthquake damages.
