摘要
本文对文献[1]中关于测谎仪的概率计算做了进一步的分析,从数据中得出了不合理的结论,并对其做出了解释。本文从新的角度出发来阐述,利用平均错判率为指标,而且指出了概率计算中的三个动态因素;实际的说谎概率、所谓的敏感度及特异性。
This article makes a deeper research on the probability analysis of polygraphs that has been referred in quotation [1]. There are two unreasonable conclusions while dealing with the data getting from quotation [1], and soon their explanations are given. Considering a new point of view, it is supposed to use average error rates as the evaluation index of polygraphs, and three changeable factors are pointed out: the actual lying rate、susceptibility&peculiarity.
出处
《数理统计与管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2005年第4期118-120,共3页
Journal of Applied Statistics and Management
关键词
测谎仪
敏感度
特异性
平均犯错率
动态指标
概率分析
统计分析
polygraph
suscetibility
peculiarity
average error rates
changeable factors
probability analysis
statistical analysis
